Race 5Handicap

MANHARI BM56 HANDICAP ($15K)

TBA AEDT2012m15,00015 runners

AI Best Bet

#10 OlympiadJ: Linda Meech

Despite a limited career, Olympiad shows significant upside, coming from a powerful stable and having a strong jockey aboard. The horse is lightly raced with a good win strike rate, suggesting further improvement is likely over this distance in a BM56 race.

McEvoy stable runnerLinda Meech aboardLightly raced with upsideGood class rating for BM56

Each-Way Value: So Enchanting

85%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This BM56 Handicap over 2012m presents a challenging field with many horses possessing limited recent form or struggling for consistency. The extended distance will test many, and those with proven stamina and a favourable weight will be at an advantage. Look for horses stepping up in class with good recent runs or those dropping in grade.

AI Selections & Analysis (15 runners)

Olympiad

Barrier 10 · 137kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER5:1-0

Jockey:Linda Meech

Trainer:Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

McEvoy stable runnerLinda Meech aboardLightly raced with upsideGood class rating for BM56

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So Enchanting

Barrier 4 · 132kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER5:1-0

Jockey:Harry Coffey

Trainer:Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

Another runner from the McEvoy stable, So Enchanting also has a strong jockey and a good barrier. While her career win rate is similar to Olympiad, she might be slightly less proven over the staying trip, but still has strong credentials to contend.

McEvoy stable runnerHarry Coffey in the saddleFavourable barrier drawGood recent form

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Rippa Buddy

Barrier 3 · 132kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER38:5-3

Jockey:Tom Madden

Trainer:Darryl Cannon

Rippa Buddy has a solid career record and a good barrier, which will be beneficial over the 2012m. With Tom Madden aboard, the horse has a strong chance to place, especially if the pace is genuine and allows for a late run.

Excellent barrier drawExperienced jockeyProven over distanceConsistent career form

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Last Raider

Barrier 6 · 139kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER15:2-2

Jockey:Chelsea Thompson

Trainer:Doug Whitworth

Last Raider has a decent career strike rate and a favourable barrier, which could see him get a good run in transit. The horse's performance will heavily depend on recent form, but the setup is there for a competitive showing.

Favourable barrier drawSolid career win ratePotential for improvementGood jockey engagement

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Bogues

Barrier 9 · 137kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER27:3-5

Jockey:Alana Kelly

Trainer:Liam Howley

Bogues is a seasoned campaigner with a good amount of prizemoney, indicating ability. While his win rate isn't high, his place rate suggests he can be competitive in this grade, and with an experienced jockey, he's an each-way chance.

Experienced campaignerSolid place recordAlana Kelly aboardCompetitive class rating

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Coraggio

Barrier 7 · 132kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER53:7-3

Jockey:Campbell Rawiller

Trainer:Bob & Kane Post

Coraggio is a very experienced runner with a good number of wins, but his place rate is lower than some. The horse has a decent barrier and a capable jockey, making him a potential value pick if he finds his best form.

Highly experiencedMultiple career winsCampbell Rawiller aboardDecent barrier

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Bagpipes

Barrier 8 · 138kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER3:1-0

Jockey:Ryan Hurdle

Trainer:Peter Roche

Bagpipes is lightly raced with a good win strike rate from limited starts, suggesting potential. However, the lack of extensive form over distance and in this class makes him a speculative pick, though the barrier and jockey are positives.

Lightly raced with potentialHigh win strike rateFavourable barrierRyan Hurdle engaged

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Mighty Mac

Barrier 12 · 133kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER10:1-2

Jockey:Teo Nugent

Trainer:Toby Lake

Mighty Mac has shown glimpses of ability but lacks consistency, with only one win from 10 starts. The horse would need to improve significantly to contend here, but the jockey engagement offers some hope.

Teo Nugent aboardLimited career winsNeeds to find best formTough barrier draw

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Patsy's Star

Barrier 14 · 134kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER28:5-2

Jockey:Neil Farley

Trainer:Michael Sell

Patsy's Star has a good number of career wins but a low place rate, suggesting inconsistency. The wide barrier draw will make it challenging to get a good position, and recent form would need to be exceptional to overcome this.

Multiple career winsPoor place strike rateVery wide barrierNeil Farley aboard

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Jungle Jet

Barrier 15 · 142kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER19:3-5

Jockey:Brad Rawiller

Trainer:Tom Dabernig

Jungle Jet has a fair win and place record, but the widest barrier draw is a significant disadvantage over this distance. Brad Rawiller is a strong jockey, but he will have his work cut out for him to overcome the gate.

Brad Rawiller engagedVery wide barrier drawDecent career place rateNeeds luck from wide gate

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Bless The Fleet

Barrier 1 · 123kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER58:2-5

Jockey:Jack Hill

Trainer:Dane Smith

Bless The Fleet is a very seasoned horse with a low win and place strike rate, suggesting he struggles to find the line. While he has a good inside barrier, he would need a significant turnaround in form to be competitive here.

Inside barrier drawVery low win rateExtensive career startsNeeds sharp improvement

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Pianta

Barrier 2 · 120kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER30:1-3

Jockey:Kate Walters

Trainer:Wayne Walters

Pianta has a very low win and place strike rate from many starts, indicating limited ability. While the inside barrier is a positive, it's difficult to see her being a factor against this field without a drastic improvement.

Inside barrier drawVery low win rateStruggles to placeNeeds significant improvement

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Zeusmas

Barrier 5 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER33:1-1

Trainer:Mitchell Leek

Zeusmas has a very poor career record with only one win and one place from 33 starts. The horse is unlikely to be competitive in this race, despite a reasonable barrier draw.

Very low win/place rateLimited career successNeeds to improve dramaticallyDecent barrier

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Dangerous Secret

Barrier 11 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER24:1-2

Trainer:Bob & Kane Post

Dangerous Secret has a very low win and place rate, suggesting he is outclassed in this field. The wide barrier further complicates his chances, making him a long shot.

Very low win/place rateStruggles to competeWide barrier drawNo jockey listed

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Mangione

Barrier 13 · 133kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER0:0-0

Jockey:Eoin Walsh

Trainer:Nell Carter

Mangione has no career starts, making him a complete unknown in this race. While the prizemoney figure is high, it's likely from transfers or sales, not race earnings, and with a wide barrier and unproven form, he's a significant risk.

No career startsComplete unknown formWide barrier drawHigh risk debut

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