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Race 4Maiden Plate

RUSS STUDIO JEWELLERS MAIDEN PLATE ($22K)

TBA AEDT2012m22,00015 runners
AI Best Bet
#12 AteyateJ: Linda Meech
Ateyate presents as the strongest contender here, showing significant improvement last start with a strong third over 1800m. The Busuttin & Young stable is adept with stayers, and Linda Meech's booking is a major positive, suggesting this horse is ready to break its maiden.
Strong last start placingBusuttin & Young stableLinda Meech aboardSuited by distance rise
Each-Way Value: Finance Merchant
88%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This 2012m Maiden Plate features a field of largely unproven stayers, with many runners still searching for their first career placing, let alone a win. The extended distance will be a key factor, potentially suiting those with some prior attempts over ground or strong breeding. Form is generally poor across the board, making this a challenging race to dissect, but some recent placings and connections stand out.

AI Selections & Analysis (15 runners)

1
Ateyate
Barrier 12 · 130kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER3:0-1
Jockey:Linda Meech
Trainer:Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

Ateyate presents as the strongest contender here, showing significant improvement last start with a strong third over 1800m. The Busuttin & Young stable is adept with stayers, and Linda Meech's booking is a major positive, suggesting this horse is ready to break its maiden.

Strong last start placingBusuttin & Young stableLinda Meech aboardSuited by distance rise
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
2
Finance Merchant
Barrier 7 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER6:0-2
Jockey:Tom Madden
Trainer:Aaron Purcell

Finance Merchant has been knocking on the door with two placings from six starts, including a recent third over 1600m. The step up to 2012m looks ideal, and the Aaron Purcell stable is known for getting the best out of their stayers. He looks a genuine each-way chance.

Consistent placingsSuited by distanceAaron Purcell stableGood barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
3
Snitzel Von Kirk
Barrier 14 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:0-1
Jockey:Dylan Dunn
Trainer:Shane Nichols & Hayden Black

Snitzel Von Kirk showed promise with a third-place finish over 1800m two starts back, suggesting the staying trip is within reach. While the wide barrier is a concern, Dylan Dunn is a capable rider, and the Nichols & Black stable can produce a winner. He's a key player.

Recent placing over groundDistance suitsCapable stableDylan Dunn riding
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
4
He's On Song
Barrier 15 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER5:0-1
Jockey:Harry Coffey
Trainer:Andrew Bobbin

He's On Song put in a good effort two starts ago over 1800m, finishing third, which bodes well for this distance. Harry Coffey is a strong booking, and trainer Andrew Bobbin has multiple runners in this race, suggesting some stable confidence. The wide draw is a slight negative, but he has the form to overcome it.

Recent placing over groundHarry Coffey aboardAndrew Bobbin stableDistance potential
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
5
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
5
Eismond
Barrier 9 · 127kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER14:0-3
Jockey:Jack Hill
Trainer:Andrew Bobbin

Eismond has had many chances but has shown glimpses of ability, including three placings from 14 starts. While his win strike rate is 0%, he has accumulated significant prizemoney for a maiden, indicating consistency. The longer trip might bring out his best, and he's from a good stable.

Consistent placingsGood prizemoney for a maidenAndrew Bobbin stableExperienced
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
6
Hasta La Oinkers
Barrier 2 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER10:0-1
Jockey:Campbell Rawiller
Trainer:Sue Murphy

Hasta La Oinkers has one placing from ten starts and showed some improvement last start over 1400m. The step up to 2012m is a query, but the inside barrier and Campbell Rawiller's riding could see him run a bold race if he handles the trip. He's a bit of a wildcard but could surprise.

Inside barrierCampbell RawillerPotential for distanceOne career placing
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
7
Baudin
Barrier 8 · 126kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:0-0
Jockey:Teo Nugent
Trainer:Paul Preusker

Baudin comes from the Paul Preusker stable, which is always a positive, and has shown some minor improvement in recent starts. While unplaced in all seven career runs, the stable often gets their horses to peak over ground. Teo Nugent is a good jockey booking, making him an interesting prospect.

Paul Preusker stableTeo Nugent ridingPotential for distanceImproving with racing
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
8
Epoch
Barrier 5 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER8:0-0
Jockey:Neil Farley
Trainer:Matthew Williams

Epoch has had eight starts without a placing, but is trained by Matthew Williams, who can get a horse to improve. The 2012m is a new test, but if bred to stay, he could be an improver. Neil Farley is a solid jockey, but the form isn't inspiring.

Matthew Williams stableNeil Farley ridingUntried at distanceNeeds to improve significantly
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
9
Janey Bopper
Barrier 6 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER5:0-0
Jockey:Paul Gatt
Trainer:Andrew Bobbin

Janey Bopper is another runner for the Andrew Bobbin stable, but her form has been uninspiring across five starts. The step up in distance could be what she needs, but she'll need to show significant improvement to be competitive here. Paul Gatt is a good jockey, which helps her chances.

Andrew Bobbin stablePaul Gatt ridingUnproven formNeeds to find many lengths
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
10
Southern Sunshine
Barrier 11 · 131kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Brad Rawiller
Trainer:Mitchell Leek

Southern Sunshine is lightly raced with only two starts, so there's potential for improvement, especially over a longer trip. Brad Rawiller is a strong booking, but the wide barrier and lack of exposed form make him a risky proposition. He's one to watch for future runs, but this might be too soon.

Lightly racedBrad RawillerWide barrierUnproven form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7
11
Secret Buddy
Barrier 1 · 131kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER8:0-0
Jockey:Cian Macredmond
Trainer:Annalise Maragos

Secret Buddy has shown no form in eight career starts and is yet to place. While the inside barrier is a plus, there's nothing in his record to suggest he's ready to break through in this company. He'll need a dramatic improvement to feature.

Inside barrierNo career placingsPoor formSignificant improvement needed
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
7
12
Reel Latino
Barrier 3 · 131kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER5:0-0
Jockey:Brad Rawiller
Trainer:Bob Challis

Reel Latino has had five starts without showing any real promise. While Brad Rawiller takes the ride, which is a positive, the horse's form is too poor to consider him a genuine chance in this race. He's likely to need more time or a significant drop in class.

Brad RawillerNo career placingsPoor formNeeds to improve dramatically
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
7
13
Explain
Barrier 4 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Sarah Field
Trainer:Jarrod Robinson

Explain is another runner with a very limited and uninspiring career record of three starts for no placings. There's nothing in his form to suggest he can compete here, and he's likely to be outclassed. He's an outsider in this field.

Limited career startsNo form to recommendNeeds huge improvementOutclassed
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
7
14
Egyptian Legend
Barrier 10 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER4:0-0
Jockey:Ryan Hurdle
Trainer:Dan O'sullivan

Egyptian Legend has had four starts for no placings and has shown very little. The trainer has a low strike rate, and there's no compelling reason to suggest he can turn his form around in this race. He's a definite outsider.

No career placingsPoor trainer formNeeds to improve dramaticallyOutclassed
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
7
15
Rainbow Dolphin
Barrier 13 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER46:0-1
Jockey:Thomas Doyle
Trainer:Stephen Lenehan

Rainbow Dolphin has an astonishing 46 starts for just one placing, clearly indicating a lack of winning desire or ability. Despite the experience, his record makes him extremely difficult to recommend. He's the rank outsider of the field.

46 starts, 1 placingVery poor win/place recordClearly outclassedNo winning form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
2
Weight Handicap
7

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