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Race 6Class 2 Handicap

LADBROKES ODDS SURGE CLASS 2 HANDICAP ($14K)

TBA AEDT1106m14,00012 runners
AI Best Bet
#6 Our MissileJ: Adam Sewell
Our Missile stands out with the highest win and place percentages in the field, indicating genuine talent. Trainer Lachie Manzelmann is in excellent form, and a good barrier draw further enhances this horse's chances in what appears to be a suitable class and distance.
High win/place strike rateIn-form trainerFavourable barrierSuitable class
Each-Way Value: I'm Stellar
88%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Class 2 Handicap over 1106m presents a competitive field with several horses showing recent improvement or strong form indicators. The short distance and likely fast pace will favour horses with good early speed and a favourable barrier draw. Trainer Lachie Manzelmann has two strong contenders who could dominate the finish.

AI Selections & Analysis (12 runners)

1
Our Missile
Barrier 6 · 123kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER8:2-2
Jockey:Adam Sewell
Trainer:Lachie Manzelmann

Our Missile stands out with the highest win and place percentages in the field, indicating genuine talent. Trainer Lachie Manzelmann is in excellent form, and a good barrier draw further enhances this horse's chances in what appears to be a suitable class and distance.

High win/place strike rateIn-form trainerFavourable barrierSuitable class
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
8
Distance Form
9
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
10
Weight Handicap
8
2
Hot Torque Invegas
Barrier 3 · 121kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER17:2-3
Trainer:Lachie Manzelmann

Another strong contender from the in-form Manzelmann stable, Hot Torque Invegas benefits from an excellent barrier draw for this distance. While the jockey is unlisted, the trainer's current success and the horse's overall profile make it a significant threat.

In-form trainerExcellent barrier drawConsistent career formSuited by distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
10
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
10
Weight Handicap
7
3
I'm Stellar
Barrier 9 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER9:2-1
Jockey:Emma Bell
Trainer:Jenny Bell

I'm Stellar boasts a strong win percentage for this field and has shown glimpses of good form. While the barrier is a little wide, the horse's ability to perform well at this class and distance makes it a strong each-way proposition.

Good win strike ratePotential for improvementSuited to classCapable jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
4
Crimson Decipher
Barrier 5 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER10:2-0
Jockey:Mckenzie Apel
Trainer:Ricky Vale

Crimson Decipher has a respectable win percentage and comes from a stable that can get them ready. The barrier draw is decent, and if the horse can find its best form, it could surprise a few at a good price.

Solid win percentageCapable trainerMid-range barrierCould improve
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
5
Spirit Of Mac
Barrier 8 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER17:2-3
Jockey:Ryan Wiggins
Trainer:Tracy Simmons

Spirit Of Mac has accumulated good prizemoney and has a decent place percentage, suggesting consistency. The wide barrier is a concern, but a strong jockey booking and a capable trainer keep this horse in the mix for a minor placing.

Experienced jockeyConsistent placegetterHigh career prizemoneyTrainer capable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
6
Zaya
Barrier 10 · 127kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER13:2-3
Jockey:Tahlia Fenlon
Trainer:Rebecca Binder

Zaya has a fair win and place record, but the wide barrier draw makes the task harder over this short distance. If able to overcome the draw, the horse has the ability to be competitive in this class.

Moderate win/place recordWide barrier a challengeSuitable classTalented apprentice
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
7
He's The One
Barrier 1 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER20:1-6
Jockey:Sean Cormack
Trainer:Shaun Quigley

He's The One has a low win percentage but a respectable place record, often finding a way to sneak into the placings. The inside barrier is a significant advantage over this trip and could see him run into the money.

Excellent inside barrierConsistent placegetterExperienced jockeyLow win rate
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
10
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
8
Determination
Barrier 12 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER19:2-5
Jockey:Aidan Holt
Trainer:Ricky Vale

Determination has a wide barrier to contend with and a modest win percentage, making it a tough ask in this competitive field. While the trainer can produce winners, the overall profile suggests this horse will need luck to feature.

Very wide barrierModest win rateCapable trainerNeeds luck
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
5
9
Office Politics
Barrier 11 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER18:2-4
Jockey:Tasha Chambers
Trainer:Tracy Simmons

Office Politics has a wide barrier and a lower win percentage than some key rivals. While the trainer has another strong contender, this horse appears to be facing a tougher challenge here.

Wide barrier drawLower win percentageStablemate preferredNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
10
Ravenite
Barrier 2 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER15:1-2
Jockey:Amie Meissner
Trainer:Wayne Pomfrett

Ravenite has a very low win percentage and a modest place record, suggesting it struggles to find the line first. While the inside barrier is a plus, it's unlikely to be enough to overcome its overall form against stronger opposition.

Very low win rateGood barrier drawStruggles to winFacing stronger rivals
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
11
Tenner
Barrier 7 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER12:1-2
Jockey:Chris Mciver
Trainer:Leaonie Horstman

Tenner has a very low win percentage and has not shown enough to suggest it can challenge in this field. The horse would need significant improvement to be competitive here.

Very low win rateLimited career formNeeds significant improvementOutclassed
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
3
12
Flyball
Barrier 4 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER44:1-5
Jockey:Natalea Summers
Trainer:Darryl Johnston

With only one win from 44 starts and a very low win and place percentage, Flyball is clearly outclassed in this event. It's difficult to make a case for this horse to be competitive against this field.

Extremely low win rateMany career starts without successOutclassed in this fieldPoor overall form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
2
Trainer Form
2
Weight Handicap
2

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