Race 7Class 1 Plate

VINCE INSURANCE CLASS 1 PLATE ($19K)

TBA AEDT1207m19,00017 runners

AI Best Bet

#1 IvantheinvincibleJ: Andrew Mallyon

This Matthew Dunn-trained runner was a dominant winner on debut and looks to have significant upside. Drawing the inside barrier is a major plus for a horse with his profile, suggesting he can hold a prominent position and unleash a strong finish. He appears to be a class above many of his rivals here.

Impressive debut winnerInside barrier (1)Untapped potentialStrong trainer/jockey combination

Each-Way Value: Braveheart

88%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Class 1 Plate over 1207m presents an interesting challenge with several last-start winners stepping up. The field includes a mix of lightly raced prospects and more seasoned campaigners, making form assessment crucial. Look for horses with early speed and good barrier draws to be prominent, as the 1207m distance often favours those who can settle well and kick strongly.

AI Selections & Analysis (17 runners)

Ivantheinvincible

Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER1:1-0

Jockey:Andrew Mallyon

Trainer:Matthew Dunn

Impressive debut winnerInside barrier (1)Untapped potentialStrong trainer/jockey combination

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Carnegie Hill

Barrier 3 · 132kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER10:1-2

Jockey:Jace Mcmurray

Trainer:Michael Freedman

Another last-start winner, Il Fratello showed good promise on debut and comes from a stable that can get them ready. While the jump to Class 1 is a test, his winning performance suggests he has the ability to compete at this level. The wide barrier is a slight concern, but his potential is undeniable.

Last start winnerUntapped potentialProgressive type

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Il Fratello

Barrier 7 · 130kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER1:1-0

Jockey:Danny Peisley

Trainer:Paul Shailer

Last start winnerUntapped potentialProgressive type

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Jupiter Hills

Barrier 12 · 128kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER7:1-0

Jockey:Damien Thornton

Trainer:Declan Maher

Last start winnerUntapped potentialProgressive type

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Braveheart

Barrier 4 · 132kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER9:1-2

Jockey:Angela Jones

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Braveheart comes from the powerful Tony Gollan stable and has shown glimpses of ability, placing twice in his career. The inside draw is a significant advantage, and with Angela Jones in the saddle, he gets a good ride. He's due for a breakthrough win and this looks like a suitable race.

Good barrier draw (4)Strong stableConsistent formJockey in form

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Venom Rush

Barrier 8 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER3:1-0

Jockey:Brandon Lerena

Trainer:Michael Morrison

Venom Rush has a strong win strike rate from limited starts, indicating a horse with talent. The barrier draw is acceptable, and if he can replicate his winning form, he's a definite contender. He's still learning but has shown enough to be competitive in this field.

Good win strike rateProgressive formAcceptable barrier

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Black Eyed Blonde

Barrier 8 · 128kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER8:1-3

Jockey:Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Trainer:Billy Healey

Black Eyed Blonde boasts a high place percentage, suggesting consistency, and has a win to her credit. The wide barrier makes it tougher, but with Kyle Wilson-Taylor aboard, she gets a top rider. If she can overcome the draw, she's certainly capable of running into the placings.

High place percentageTop jockeyConsistent performer

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Raging

Barrier 2 · 132kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER11:1-2

Jockey:Fred Larson

Trainer:Wayne Nugent

Raging has a favourable inside barrier and has shown glimpses of form that could see him competitive here. While his win strike rate isn't high, the good draw and a solid jockey could see him improve. He's an each-way chance if he gets a soft run.

Good barrier draw (2)Experienced jockeyCould improve

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Adranos

Barrier 9 · 132kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER10:1-1

Jockey:Ryan Maloney

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Adranos comes from a top stable but has a wide barrier and a modest win/place record. While the stable can improve horses, the form doesn't jump off the page. He'll need a significant improvement and a perfect ride to be a factor here.

Top stableWide barrierNeeds improvement

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Better Sweet

Barrier 5 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER7:1-1

Jockey:Olivia Webb

Trainer:Michael Nolan

Better Sweet has a favourable barrier and a win to her name, but overall form is moderate. She'll need to find her best to compete with some of the more progressive types in this field. An outside chance for a minor placing if things go her way.

Good barrier (5)Moderate formNeeds to improve

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Farnesina

Barrier 11 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER4:1-0

Trainer:Chris & Corey Munce

Farnesina has a win from only four starts, which is encouraging, but faces a tough barrier and a step up in grade. She has potential, but the wide draw makes her task much harder in this competitive field. A place might be her best hope.

Good win strike rateWide barrierUntested at this level

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Lucky Lass

Barrier 7 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER8:1-2

Jockey:Bella Youngberry

Trainer:Tony Gollan

From the Gollan stable, Lucky Lass has a decent place percentage but a poor win record. The wide barrier is a significant disadvantage, and she'll need a big lift to be competitive. She's likely to find a few too good here.

Strong stableWide barrierStruggles to win

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Broadbeach Miss

Barrier 7 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER10:1-2

Trainer:Declan Maher

Broadbeach Miss has a moderate record and a wide barrier to contend with. While she has placed, her overall form suggests she'll struggle against some of the more promising horses in this race. An outsider's chance at best.

Moderate formWide barrierNeeds significant improvement

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Ikasara

Barrier 11 · 132kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER9:1-0

Jockey:Cejay Graham

Trainer:Todd Pollard

Ikasara has a win to her name but a very low place percentage, indicating inconsistency. The wide barrier makes her task even harder, and she'll need a lot of luck to feature. She's likely to be outclassed here.

Inconsistent formWide barrierLow place percentage

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Lift'n'mehigher

Barrier 10 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER9:1-1

Jockey:Gary Geran

Trainer:Corey & Kylie Geran

Lift'n'mehigher has a win but a very ordinary overall record and a wide barrier. This looks too tough for him, and he's unlikely to trouble the main chances. He's a long shot here.

Poor overall recordWide barrierOutclassed

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Immediate

Barrier 15 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER12:1-3

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Immediate has a very wide barrier and a poor win strike rate from many starts. Despite coming from a top stable, his form suggests he's not up to winning this. He's a rank outsider.

Very wide barrierPoor win strike rateOut of form

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Toute Sweet

Barrier 6 · 132kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER35:1-7

Jockey:Stacey Callow

Trainer:Brett Baker

Toute Sweet has an extremely poor win record from a large number of starts, indicating a significant lack of ability. Despite a decent barrier, she is highly unlikely to be competitive in this field. She's the roughie of the race.

Very poor win recordMany starts, few winsOutclassed

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