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Race 1Maiden Handicap (qtis Bonuses Applicable 2&3yo Only)

GREAT NORTHERN BREWING CO MAIDEN HANDICAP (QTIS BONUSES APPLICABLE 2&3YO ONLY) ($16K)

TBA AEDT1207m16,0008 runners
AI Best Bet
#1 Shadyvale AlJ: Ivo Fry
Shadyvale Al, despite being a maiden, has shown a placing and consistent efforts in slightly stronger fields. The inside barrier draw over 1207m is a significant advantage, and with an in-form jockey, this looks like his best chance to break through.
Inside barrier (1)Consistent form in maidensJockey Ivo Fry's formProven placegetter
Each-Way Value: High Sobriety
78%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Maiden Handicap for 2&3YO QTIS horses over 1207m presents a challenging puzzle with all runners yet to break their maiden. The race lacks a standout performer, suggesting it could be won by a horse showing even slight improvement or benefiting from a favourable run. Given the nature of maidens, a well-ridden race and a touch of luck will be crucial.

AI Selections & Analysis (8 runners)

1
Shadyvale Al
Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER11:0-1
Jockey:Ivo Fry
Trainer:Melissa Bieri

Shadyvale Al, despite being a maiden, has shown a placing and consistent efforts in slightly stronger fields. The inside barrier draw over 1207m is a significant advantage, and with an in-form jockey, this looks like his best chance to break through.

Inside barrier (1)Consistent form in maidensJockey Ivo Fry's formProven placegetter
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
2
High Sobriety
Barrier 3 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:0-1
Jockey:Adam Sewell
Trainer:Michael Geaney

High Sobriety has a placing to his name and comes from a stable that can get them ready. The good barrier and the booking of Adam Sewell suggest confidence, making him a strong contender in this field of maidens.

Good barrier (3)Has placed previouslyJockey Adam SewellTrainer Michael Geaney
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
3
Amber Affair
Barrier 2 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:0-0
Jockey:Chris Whiteley
Trainer:Rhein Sewell

Amber Affair gets the services of Chris Whiteley from a good barrier, which are significant positives. While her career record is modest, the jockey-barrier combination could see her improve sharply in this weak maiden field.

Jockey Chris WhiteleyFavourable barrier (2)Potential for improvementLightly raced
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
4
Oscar Booie
Barrier 8 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER10:0-0
Jockey:Courtney Bellamy
Trainer:Michael Geaney

Oscar Booie has had a few starts and shown glimpses of ability without breaking through. The wide barrier is a concern over 1207m, but if Courtney Bellamy can find cover, he could be competitive in this open maiden.

Experienced in maidensStablemate of High SobrietyJockey Courtney Bellamy
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
5
Fighting Edge
Barrier 6 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER26:0-3
Jockey:Chelsea Jokic
Trainer:Chelsea Jokic

Fighting Edge has had many chances and is yet to win, but has placed three times, indicating some ability to run on. The self-trained/ridden combination can sometimes produce a surprise, and in a race devoid of stars, a strong finish could see her in the placings.

Extensive maiden experienceHas placed previouslySelf-trained/ridden
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
6
Jot Girl
Barrier 5 · 129kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Lacey Morrison
Trainer:Graham Hughes

Jot Girl is lightly raced with limited form to date, but the booking of Lacey Morrison is a positive. With only three career starts, there's scope for improvement, and she could surprise if she's matured since her last run.

Lightly racedJockey Lacey MorrisonScope for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
7
Princess Shanghai
Barrier 4 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER12:0-0
Jockey:Wanderson D'avila
Trainer:Wanderson D'avila

Princess Shanghai has had numerous starts without showing much, making her a difficult prospect. While the barrier draw is decent, she would need to produce a career-best performance to be a factor here.

Many starts, no winsSelf-trained/riddenGood barrier (4)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
8
French Dragon
Barrier 7 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER8:0-0
Jockey:Gabrielle Semmens
Trainer:Trevor & Peter Rowe

French Dragon has shown very little in his career to date and faces a tough task from a wide barrier. He would need a significant turnaround in form to be competitive against this field.

Poor career formWide barrier (7)Needs significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4

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