Race 5Benchmark 64 Handicap

KEVIN SHARKIE BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP ($17K)

TBA AEDT2012m17,00014 runners

AI Best Bet

#1 Florence GlassJ: Troy Baker

Florence Glass looks exceptionally well-placed here. With a strong win last start and the best barrier draw, she has all the ingredients for another victory. Her recent form and a proven jockey make her the clear top pick in this field.

Excellent recent winIdeal inside barrier (1)Progressive staying typeConsistent jockey form

Each-Way Value: Royal Dispatch

88%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Benchmark 64 Handicap over 2012m presents a challenging field with many runners showing inconsistent form. Several horses are stepping up in distance, and the wide barriers for some key contenders will make for an interesting race dynamic. Look for those with proven staying ability and a good draw to feature prominently.

AI Selections & Analysis (14 runners)

Florence Glass

Barrier 1 · 120kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER15:2-1

Jockey:Troy Baker

Trainer:John Blacker

Excellent recent winIdeal inside barrier (1)Progressive staying typeConsistent jockey form

Rating Breakdown

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Royal Dispatch

Barrier 7 · 127kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER12:3-1

Jockey:Georgie Catania

Trainer:Ashley Meaburn

Royal Dispatch has a strong win strike rate and has shown good form over middle distances. While the barrier is slightly tricky, a top jockey aboard and a solid class rating make him a strong contender. He represents excellent each-way value if he can overcome the draw.

Good win strike rateProven over middle distancesExperienced jockeySolid class performer

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Scarletti

Barrier 6 · 129kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER20:3-3

Jockey:Lauren Burke

Trainer:Brendan Mcshane

Scarletti is well-drawn in barrier 6 and has shown capability at this distance. With a decent win and place record, this horse could be a factor with a clean run. The trainer's stable form will be key to her chances here.

Favourable barrier drawDecent distance formConsistent placegetterTrainer in good form

Rating Breakdown

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Iffycould

Barrier 2 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER21:2-2

Jockey:Christopher Pang

Trainer:John Keys

Iffycould has drawn well and has a reasonable career record, suggesting he can be competitive in this grade. His overall place percentage is a concern, but the inside draw gives him every chance to improve. If he gets a soft run, he could surprise.

Good barrier draw (2)Consistent at this levelTrainer's stable can producePotential for improvement

Rating Breakdown

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Moorlands Miss

Barrier 11 · 126kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER17:2-3

Jockey:Jett Stanley

Trainer:Glenn Stevenson

Moorlands Miss has a solid prize money record and a trainer who can get results. The wide barrier is a challenge, but if she can overcome it, her class could see her in the finish. Look for her to be running on late.

High prizemoney earnerTrainer in good formCapable at this distanceStrong late finisher

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Tideford

Barrier 5 · 127kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER33:2-7

Jockey:Mehmet Ulucinar

Trainer:Leon Laskey

Tideford has a favourable barrier and has shown glimpses of form, but his win strike rate is low. He'll need everything to go his way to be competitive, but the draw and a capable jockey give him a chance to run into the placings. He's a place chance at best.

Good barrier (5)Experienced jockeyCan run a place on best formRequires luck in running

Rating Breakdown

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Goddess Of Rock

Barrier 13 · 122kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER29:4-3

Jockey:Polly Brewster

Trainer:John Keys

Goddess Of Rock has a decent win record but faces a significant challenge from barrier 13. While she has shown she can win, the wide draw on this track over 2012m will make it tough. She'll need a perfect ride to overcome the gate.

Decent win strike rateChallenging wide barrierCan perform on her dayRequires tactical genius

Rating Breakdown

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Stratojack

Barrier 3 · 120kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER25:2-2

Jockey:Codi Jordan

Trainer:Tammy Mollross

Stratojack has a good barrier draw and has shown some ability, but his overall win and place percentages are low. He's a roughie who could potentially sneak into a minor placing if the race pace suits him. He's an outside chance.

Favourable barrier (3)Can run on lateRequires step up in formLong odds prospect

Rating Breakdown

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Manhattan Nights

Barrier 10 · 123kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER21:2-4

Jockey:Lauryn Bingley

Trainer:John Blacker

Manhattan Nights has a tough barrier draw and his form has been inconsistent. While he's with a good trainer, he'll need a significant improvement to challenge in this field. He's likely to be tested over the distance from that gate.

Challenging wide barrierInconsistent recent formTrainer can get resultsNeeds career best

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Alpine Trout

Barrier 4 · 122kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER27:2-3

Jockey:Chloe Wells

Trainer:Barry Campbell

Alpine Trout has a good trainer and a decent barrier, but his career record suggests he struggles to win. He's more of a place chance on his best day, but recent form doesn't inspire confidence. He'll need a significant turnaround.

Good barrier (4)Experienced trainerStruggles to winNeeds to find form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Fashion Fox

Barrier 8 · 125kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER26:2-2

Jockey:David Pires

Trainer:Jessie Bazan

Fashion Fox has a very low win and place strike rate, and recent form hasn't been encouraging. Despite having an experienced jockey, he appears outclassed in this field. He's a long shot who would need a miracle to feature.

Low career strike ratePoor recent formExperienced jockey aboardOutclassed in this field

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Always A Winner

Barrier 12 · 129kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER53:6-11

Jockey:Kirra-Lee Lane

Trainer:Yassy Nishitani

Always A Winner has a lot of starts under his belt but a very wide barrier to contend with. His career place percentage is fair, but he's likely to find this too tough from the outside. He would need a lot of luck to get into contention.

Very wide barrier (12)High number of startsInconsistent formNeeds a career best

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Reservoir Dog

Barrier 14 · 122kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER46:4-5

Jockey:Erica Byrne Burke

Trainer:Jessie Bazan

Reservoir Dog has a huge number of starts but a very poor strike rate and the widest barrier. His form has been consistently poor, making it very difficult to see him featuring here. He's a definite outsider.

Widest barrier (14)Poor win/place recordInconsistent recent formOutclassed and poorly drawn

Rating Breakdown

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Speed Rock

Barrier 9 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER53:2-4

Jockey:Bulent Muhcu

Trainer:Amanda Jones

Speed Rock has the lowest win and place percentages in the field, coupled with a wide barrier. His form suggests he's well out of his depth in this class. It's hard to make a case for him against this opposition.

Very low strike rateWide barrier (9)Poor recent formNo competitive claims

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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