Race 8Open Handicap

LADBROKES HOSTED POTS OPEN HANDICAP ($58K)

TBA AEDT1358m58,00015 runners

AI Best Bet

#11 Walsh BayJ: Martin Harley

Walsh Bay stands out with an exceptional win rate and place rate, indicating consistent high-level performance. Despite a wide barrier, the horse's class and the jockey's skill should see them overcome it, making them the clear top pick in this field.

Outstanding career strike rateHigh class performerJockey Martin Harley in good form

Each-Way Value: Harbourmaster

88%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Open Handicap over 1358m presents a fascinating challenge with several key contenders and a strong presence from the Tony Gollan stable. The wide barrier draws for some of the fancied runners will test their tactical versatility, while those drawn inside have a distinct advantage on this track. Expect a competitive race with a few horses having excellent recent form and class to match.

AI Selections & Analysis (15 runners)

Walsh Bay

Barrier 11 · 127kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER18:9-1

Jockey:Martin Harley

Trainer:Chris & Corey Munce

Outstanding career strike rateHigh class performerJockey Martin Harley in good form

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Tenzing

Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER31:7-4

Jockey:Damien Thornton

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Tenzing benefits immensely from the inside barrier and comes from the formidable Tony Gollan stable. While not as dominant as Walsh Bay, his consistent career record and favorable draw make him a strong contender for a top-three finish.

Excellent inside barrierConsistent career performerTop stable trainer

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Rising Pacific

Barrier 3 · 126kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER25:8-2

Jockey:Andrew Mallyon

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Another strong runner from the Gollan yard, Rising Pacific has a good win rate and a favorable barrier. With a solid overall profile, this horse is a definite threat and should be competitive right to the line.

Strong win strike rateFavorable barrier drawTony Gollan trained

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Harbourmaster

Barrier 6 · 115kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER26:7-5

Jockey:Montana Philpot

Trainer:Billy Healey

Harbourmaster has a good win and place strike rate for the prize money earned, suggesting value. With a mid-range barrier and a jockey who can make good use of it, this horse represents a strong each-way chance in this competitive field.

Solid win/place strike rateMid-range barrier drawPotential for improvement

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Cote Atlantique

Barrier 13 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER15:4-2

Jockey:Corey Sutherland

Trainer:Henry Dwyer

Cote Atlantique boasts a good win rate but faces a challenging wide barrier. If the jockey can navigate a clean run, the horse's class could see them in the finish, but the draw adds a significant hurdle.

Good career win rateHigh prizemoney earnerChallenging wide barrier

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Kronenbourg

Barrier 12 · 125kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER30:9-5

Jockey:Emily Lang

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Kronenbourg has a strong career record and is another from the powerful Gollan stable. The wide barrier is a concern, but the horse's ability to place consistently suggests they can still feature if given a good ride.

Good career place rateTony Gollan trainedWide barrier draw

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Mahagoni

Barrier 5 · 119kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER41:7-10

Jockey:Fiona Sandkuhl

Trainer:Lindsay Gough

Mahagoni has a solid place record and a favorable inside barrier, which will assist in getting a good run. While not a frequent winner, the horse's consistency makes them a viable option for a minor placing.

Excellent place strike rateGood inside barrierConsistent performer

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Don't Stop

Barrier 2 · 117kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER49:8-6

Jockey:Jake Bayliss

Trainer:Paul N Nolan

Don't Stop benefits from an excellent inside barrier and has a high number of career starts, suggesting durability. While the win rate isn't high, the favorable draw could see this horse exceed expectations and sneak into a placing.

Excellent inside barrierExperienced campaignerJockey Jake Bayliss

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Margot's Deel

Barrier 14 · 115kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER8:3-2

Jockey:Cejay Graham

Trainer:Jason Edwards

Margot's Deel has a high win and place strike rate from limited starts, showing potential. However, the wide barrier and step up in class make this a risky proposition, but one with upside if everything goes right.

High win/place strike rate (limited starts)Untapped potentialWide barrier and class rise

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Miss Joelene

Barrier 9 · 134kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER35:8-6

Jockey:Rob Thorburn

Trainer:Kelly Schweida

Miss Joelene has a decent win rate but a wide barrier and less impressive place rate compared to some others. While capable on her day, she'll need luck and a strong run to feature prominently in this competitive field.

Moderate win rateWide barrier drawKelly Schweida trained

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Exotique Miss

Barrier 10 · 122kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER28:5-5

Jockey:Olivia Webb

Trainer:Michael Nolan

Moderate win rateWide barrier drawKelly Schweida trained

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The Drover

Barrier 4 · 115kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER58:7-13

Jockey:Ron Stewart

Trainer:Lawrie Mayfield-Smith

The Drover has an excellent inside barrier and a high number of career placings, indicating some consistency. However, the low win rate suggests he's more of a place chance than a winning one in this class.

Excellent inside barrierHigh number of career placingsLow career win rate

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Lucky Girl

Barrier 8 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER22:3-1

Jockey:Ryan Maloney

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Lucky Girl is another from the Gollan stable, which is a positive, but her career win and place rates are lower than stablemates. She'll need significant improvement to challenge the top contenders here.

Tony Gollan trainedLower career strike ratesAverage barrier

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Castillian

Barrier 15 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER38:7-7

Jockey:Angela Jones

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Castillian has a wide barrier and moderate career statistics, which will make it tough to feature. While from a top stable, the draw and form suggest this horse is a long shot in this competitive race.

Very wide barrierModerate career strike ratesNeeds luck from the draw

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Geriatrix

Barrier 7 · 115kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER23:4-2

Jockey:Daniel Moor

Trainer:Chris Waller

Geriatrix has the lowest prizemoney and a modest career record, suggesting he is outclassed in this Open Handicap. Despite being from a top trainer, the overall profile makes him a significant outsider.

Lowest prizemoney in fieldModest career recordLikely outclassed

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