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Race 1Maiden Plate

LADBROKES MAIDEN PLATE ($22K)

TBA AEDT1106m22,0007 runners
AI Best Bet
#6 I Will ShineJ: Tom Madden
Cabriole returns from a spell with the strongest jockey-trainer combination in the race and an inside barrier. Her two career starts were in stronger company, and a recent trial suggests she's ready to fire in this much easier maiden. She looks the clear top pick.
Elite jockey/trainer comboInside barrier (1)Drops significantly in classRecent trial win
Each-Way Value: Silver Capital
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Maiden Plate over 1106m features a mix of debutants and lightly raced horses, many of whom have shown little to date. The key contenders appear to be those with strong stable and jockey combinations, or those who have shown a glimmer of potential in previous starts or trials. Given the maiden status, expect some unpredictability, but a few runners stand out on paper.

AI Selections & Analysis (7 runners)

1
I Will Shine
Barrier 6 · 131kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Tom Madden
Trainer:Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell

Cabriole returns from a spell with the strongest jockey-trainer combination in the race and an inside barrier. Her two career starts were in stronger company, and a recent trial suggests she's ready to fire in this much easier maiden. She looks the clear top pick.

Elite jockey/trainer comboInside barrier (1)Drops significantly in classRecent trial win
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
5
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
10
Jockey Form
10
Trainer Form
10
Weight Handicap
7
1
Cabriole
Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Mark Zahra
Trainer:Anthony & Sam Freedman

Cabriole returns from a spell with the strongest jockey-trainer combination in the race and an inside barrier. Her two career starts were in stronger company, and a recent trial suggests she's ready to fire in this much easier maiden. She looks the clear top pick.

Elite jockey/trainer comboInside barrier (1)Drops significantly in classRecent trial win
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
5
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
10
Jockey Form
10
Trainer Form
10
Weight Handicap
7
2
Flying Capital
Barrier 2 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Linda Meech
Trainer:Tom Dabernig

This debutant hails from a strong stable and has the services of Linda Meech, a top jockey. While unproven, the stable's record with first-starters suggests she will be well-prepared. The inside barrier is a definite plus for a newcomer.

Strong stable debutantTop jockey engagedInside barrier (2)Well-bred
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
3
Silver Capital
Barrier 3 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:0-1
Jockey:Mitchell Aitken
Trainer:Vincent Malady

Silver Capital has shown some ability, placing once from three starts, which is better than most in this field. The good barrier and the experience gained will be beneficial here. She represents good each-way value given her prior placing and the overall weakness of the field.

Prior placing (33% place rate)Good barrier (3)Race experienceConsistent jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
4
One Bound
Barrier 7 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:John Allen
Trainer:Tom Dabernig

Another debutant from the Dabernig stable, this one with John Allen aboard. While the barrier is wider, the jockey is a positive. The stable often has their first-starters ready, making him a potential improver if he shows natural talent.

Strong stable debutantExperienced jockeyWell-bredCould improve sharply
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
5
Miss Deceiver
Barrier 5 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER5:0-1
Jockey:Declan Bates
Trainer:Ciaron Maher

Miss Deceiver has had five starts, showing a place once, but has been unconvincing in her recent outings. While from a strong stable, her form suggests she needs to find significant improvement to challenge the top few. The wide barrier doesn't help her cause.

Strong stableSome race experienceWider barrier (5)Needs to improve on past form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
6
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
6
Koban
Barrier 4 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Jackson Radley
Trainer:Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

Koban had one start and finished well back, indicating he needs to show significant improvement. While from a good stable, his debut was not promising, and he faces similar competition here. He's a roughie who would need to make a huge leap forward.

Good stablePoor debut runLimited race experienceNeeds major improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7

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