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Race 1Cup Day 24th April Maiden Plate

TAMWORTH CUP DAY 24TH APRIL MAIDEN PLATE ($19K)

TBA AEDT1609m19,00010 runners
AI Best Bet
#6 VariusJ: Shannen Llewellyn
Varius comes from the Kris Lees stable, which is a significant advantage in a maiden plate, especially with only three career starts. The step up to 1609m looks promising given his breeding and the trainer's expertise with staying types. With natural improvement and a good barrier, he's the standout.
Kris Lees stableProgressive typeGood barrier draw (6)Suited by distance rise
Each-Way Value: Takethemoneyandrun
78%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Tamworth Cup Day Maiden Plate over 1609m presents a challenging puzzle, with all runners yet to break their maiden status. Many horses have limited starts or poor career records, suggesting a race where improvement or a change in circumstances could be key. The focus will be on those showing glimmers of potential or coming from stables known for getting maidens to perform.

AI Selections & Analysis (10 runners)

1
Varius
Barrier 6 · 125kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Shannen Llewellyn
Trainer:Kris Lees

Varius comes from the Kris Lees stable, which is a significant advantage in a maiden plate, especially with only three career starts. The step up to 1609m looks promising given his breeding and the trainer's expertise with staying types. With natural improvement and a good barrier, he's the standout.

Kris Lees stableProgressive typeGood barrier draw (6)Suited by distance rise
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
2
Takethemoneyandrun
Barrier 4 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER12:0-1
Jockey:Grant Buckley
Trainer:Gavin Groth

Despite a long career without a win, Takethemoneyandrun has shown glimpses of ability with a career place and has the most prizemoney in the field. The inside draw and experience over the distance could see him finally break through in a weak maiden. He shapes as a strong each-way prospect.

Consistent performer in maidensInside barrier (4)Experience at distanceGood prizemoney earner
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
3
My Nicconi Boy
Barrier 5 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Anna Roper
Trainer:Julia Presits

My Nicconi Boy has had limited starts but showed some improvement last start and has a favourable barrier draw. With a top jockey in Anna Roper, there's potential for a significant step forward in this weak maiden. He's a dark horse with upside.

Limited starts, scope for improvementFavourable barrier (5)Anna Roper aboardBreeding for distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
4
Burn Bobby Burn
Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER9:0-0
Jockey:Luke Rolls
Trainer:Todd Payne

Burn Bobby Burn gets the coveted rail draw and has had a few starts to build fitness. While his form isn't inspiring, the inside barrier and a capable jockey could see him run a much improved race in this company. He's a place chance if he can find some early speed.

Inside barrier (1)Building fitnessCapable jockeyWeak maiden field
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
5
Pear Bellini
Barrier 10 · 126kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER14:0-3
Jockey:Nicholas Hyde
Trainer:Glen Milligan

Pear Bellini has the most career starts and prizemoney, indicating some level of consistency in maidens, but also a struggle to win. The wide barrier is a concern, but the experience and a decent place strike rate give him a chance to run into the money. He's a minor place hope.

Most career startsSome place formTough barrier (10)Experienced in maidens
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
6
Pinero
Barrier 3 · 126kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER11:0-1
Jockey:Leanne Boyd
Trainer:Sally Torrens

Pinero has a career place and a decent barrier, which could see him improve in this field. While his form isn't eye-catching, the step up in distance might suit and he could be a surprise package. Watch for any market support.

Career placeGood barrier (3)Distance potentialWeak field
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
7
Brand New Moon
Barrier 8 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER8:0-0
Jockey:Juliet Partridge
Trainer:Melanie O'gorman

Brand New Moon has had a few starts without showing much, and the wide barrier makes his task harder. While the trainer is capable, the horse needs to show significant improvement to be competitive here. He's difficult to recommend with confidence.

Poor career formWide barrier (8)Needs significant improvementNo place record
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
8
Vega Sicilia
Barrier 2 · 129kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Emily Farr
Trainer:Glen Milligan

Vega Sicilia has had limited starts and hasn't shown much in his career to date. While the inside barrier is a plus, he needs to find a lot of improvement to figure in the finish. He's a roughie at best.

Limited career formGood barrier (2)Needs to improve sharplyNo prizemoney
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
9
Show Us Ya Texts
Barrier 7 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER9:0-0
Jockey:Leeshelle Small
Trainer:Lyle Chandler

Show Us Ya Texts has a poor career record with no placings and has been uncompetitive in previous starts. While the field is weak, he would need a complete turnaround in form to be a factor. He's an outsider.

Poor career recordNo placingsNeeds drastic improvementAverage barrier (7)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
10
Quirky Princess
Barrier 9 · 125kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Mikayla Weir
Trainer:Scott Singleton

Quirky Princess is a one-start maiden with no prizemoney and a wide barrier. It's too early to assess her true potential, but she needs to show significant improvement from her debut to be competitive here. She's a definite outsider.

One career startNo form to assessWide barrier (9)Needs to improve dramatically
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5

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