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Race 7Handicap

CARLTON DRAUGHT RATING 0 - 60 HANDICAP ($17K)

TBA AEDT1609m17,00015 runners
AI Best Bet
#1 Head Of The HerdJ: Kayla Crowther
Head Of The Herd has an excellent barrier draw and a strong win percentage for this class. With Kayla Crowther aboard, who is in good form, this horse ticks many boxes and looks to be the one to beat in this event.
Ideal barrier drawSolid win strike rateIn-form jockey
Each-Way Value: Mikki Tango
78%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Rating 0-60 Handicap over 1609m presents a competitive field with several seasoned campaigners and a few less experienced runners. The wide barriers for some key contenders could play a significant role, while horses drawn closer to the rail might get an easier run. Expect a genuinely run race with multiple chances.

AI Selections & Analysis (15 runners)

1
Head Of The Herd
Barrier 1 · 127kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER26:4-1
Jockey:Kayla Crowther
Trainer:Sarah Rutten

Head Of The Herd has an excellent barrier draw and a strong win percentage for this class. With Kayla Crowther aboard, who is in good form, this horse ticks many boxes and looks to be the one to beat in this event.

Ideal barrier drawSolid win strike rateIn-form jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
2
Bush Inference
Barrier 2 · 119kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER35:4-1
Jockey:Teagan Voorham
Trainer:Byron Cozamanis

Bush Inference has a solid win rate and an excellent inside barrier draw, which will be a significant advantage. With Teagan Voorham in the saddle, who knows the horse well, this combination could be very dangerous and is a strong contender.

Excellent barrier drawSolid career win rateJockey-horse familiarity
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
3
Elliotto
Barrier 5 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER16:3-1
Jockey:Jacob Opperman
Trainer:Jamie Opperman

Elliotto boasts a good win strike rate for this field and comes from a stable that often performs well with their own horses. The inside barrier is a definite advantage, and with a top jockey like Opperman, he looks to be a strong chance to feature prominently.

Good win strike rateFavourable barrier drawJockey/trainer combination
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
4
Vintage Kod
Barrier 8 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER28:4-4
Jockey:Tala Hutchinson
Trainer:Garret Lynch

Vintage Kod has a strong career win percentage for this grade and distance, suggesting he's well-placed here. While the barrier is a slight concern, his overall consistency and prizemoney indicate he's a genuine contender if he gets a clean run.

Solid career recordProven at this levelGood prizemoney earner
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
5
Mikki Tango
Barrier 3 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER11:1-1
Jockey:Todd Pannell
Trainer:Mark W Lewis

Mikki Tango, despite a lower career win percentage, has the advantage of a good barrier and the services of Todd Pannell. If recent form is strong, this combination could see a significant improvement, making him a good each-way prospect at value.

Favourable barrier drawTop jockey engagementPotential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
6
Fleurieu Flipper
Barrier 14 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER50:5-8
Jockey:Emily Finnegan
Trainer:Paul Carey

Fleurieu Flipper is a very experienced runner with a fair win rate and a decent place rate, suggesting he can still be competitive. The wide barrier is a hurdle, but his experience and ability to hit the board make him a potential value pick.

Highly experiencedConsistent placegetterWide barrier challenge
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
7
Morlaix
Barrier 11 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER25:2-8
Jockey:Rochelle Milnes
Trainer:Stuart Padman

Morlaix has a low win rate but a respectable place rate, indicating he can often get into the money. The wide barrier is a disadvantage, but if he gets some luck in running, he could be a surprise package for an exotics bet.

Good place strike rateCan run into placingsWide barrier challenge
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
8
Serinite Illusion
Barrier 9 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER16:3-0
Jockey:Jason Holder
Trainer:Sophie Logan

Serinite Illusion has a decent win percentage but lacks place consistency, which is a concern in a competitive handicap. The wide barrier will make it tougher, and while Holder is a good jockey, the horse needs to find an extra gear to be in the finish.

Moderate win ratePoor place strike rateWide barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
9
Taraashoq
Barrier 6 · 127kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER37:4-4
Jockey:Jemma Gutte
Trainer:Jyi Lukey

Taraashoq has a fair career record but his win and place percentages are not outstanding for the number of starts. While the barrier is reasonable, he will need to be at his very best to challenge the stronger contenders in this field.

Moderate career recordNeeds to lift formConsistent but not winning
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
10
Sir Randolph
Barrier 4 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER27:4-2
Jockey:Ashvin Goindasamy
Trainer:Andrew Clarken

Sir Randolph has a fair win rate but a very low place rate, indicating he's either winning or not featuring. While the barrier is decent, his overall consistency suggests he's more of a roughie who needs everything to go his way to contend.

Low place strike rateInconsistent performerNeeds luck in running
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
11
Stratum Pride
Barrier 7 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER61:5-9
Jockey:Alysha Warren
Trainer:Philippe Huserot

Stratum Pride is a very experienced horse but has a low win rate for his number of starts, suggesting he's found his level. While he can place, his overall record doesn't inspire confidence for a win in this competitive field.

Experienced but low win rateMany starts for limited winsBattling for consistency
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
6
12
Knight Dancer
Barrier 12 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER32:2-4
Jockey:Will Price
Trainer:John Macmillan

Knight Dancer has a very poor win rate and a low place rate over many starts, indicating a struggle to win. The wide barrier and general lack of competitive form make him a definite outsider in this race.

Poor win/place recordMany starts, few winsWide barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
6
13
Canny Defense
Barrier 10 · 129kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER20:1-5
Jockey:Sairyn Fawke
Trainer:Raharna McDonald

Canny Defense has a very poor win rate, although the place rate is slightly better. The wide barrier and general lack of winning form make him difficult to recommend, suggesting he's likely to struggle against this field.

Very low win rateWide barrier drawStruggling for form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
6
14
Blue Isles
Barrier 13 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER13:1-1
Jockey:Taylor Johnstone
Trainer:Bill Smart

Blue Isles has a very low win and place percentage over a limited career, suggesting this class might be too strong. The wide barrier further diminishes his chances, making him an outsider with little appeal.

Very low career strike rateWide barrier drawOutclassed in this field
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
6
15
France's Boy
Barrier 15 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Caitlin Jones
Trainer:John Hickmott & Carrina Riggs

France's Boy is a complete unknown with no career starts, making him an outsider. While the prizemoney is high, it's likely from a different discipline or country, and without any form to assess, he's a massive risk in this handicap.

First career startComplete unknown formHigh risk factor
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
1
Distance Form
1
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
1
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6

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