Race 1Maiden Plate

FRED VELLA TYRE & CRASH REPAIR THREE-YEAR-OLD MAIDEN PLATE ($17K)

TBA AEDT1106m17,00012 runners

AI Best Bet

#4 Princess Of SmilesJ: Kayla Crowther

Princess Of Smiles had a very encouraging debut, finishing close up against stronger company. With the benefit of that run, a good barrier, and Kayla Crowther in the saddle, she looks perfectly placed to break her maiden here. She's the clear top pick.

Strong debut performanceFitness edgeTop jockey engagementFavourable barrier

Each-Way Value: Like A Drifter

78%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This 3YO Maiden Plate over 1106m presents a challenging puzzle with many first-starters and horses with limited career runs. Form is scarce, making trials and stable/jockey combinations crucial indicators. Expect a competitive race where early speed and fitness will be key.

AI Selections & Analysis (12 runners)

Princess Of Smiles

Barrier 4 · 122kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER1:0-0

Jockey:Kayla Crowther

Trainer:Robert Atkinson

Strong debut performanceFitness edgeTop jockey engagementFavourable barrier

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Brave Fortune

Barrier 8 · 127kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER1:0-0

Jockey:Will Price

Trainer:Will Clarken

Brave Fortune showed some promise on debut and comes from a strong stable. The wide barrier is a slight concern, but with natural improvement, he could be a strong contender in this maiden field. Will Price is a capable jockey who can navigate from the draw.

Clarken stable runnerDebut effort had meritNatural improvement expected

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Like A Drifter

Barrier 2 · 127kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER3:0-0

Jockey:Tala Hutchinson

Trainer:Dan Clarken & Oopy Macgillivray

Like A Drifter has had a few starts and shown glimpses of ability, particularly with a recent trial win. The inside barrier is a significant advantage, and the stable often improves horses with racing. He looks a solid each-way prospect here.

Recent trial winnerFavourable barrier drawFitness edge

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Mystrix

Barrier 6 · 122kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER2:0-0

Jockey:Jackson Murphy

Trainer:Stephen Theodore

Mystrix has had a couple of runs and showed some improvement last start. From a good barrier and with a capable jockey, he could be ready to step up. He's a definite improver and should be considered for exotics.

Improved last startGood barrierFitness building

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Bass Coast Flyer

Barrier 5 · 122kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER1:0-0

Jockey:Alyssa Webb

Trainer:Garret Lynch

Bass Coast Flyer had a fair debut and should benefit from that experience. The stable can produce winners, and with a good barrier, he could show improvement. He's one to watch for a better performance second-up.

Second-up improvementGood barrierStable potential

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Shamus In Pontivy

Barrier 9 · 122kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER1:0-0

Jockey:Jade Doyle

Trainer:Jenny Gow-Whyte

Shamus In Pontivy showed some early speed on debut but faded. With a wide barrier and needing to improve significantly, he's facing a tough task. He might be one to watch for later in his preparation.

Showed early speed on debutWide barrierNeeds to finish stronger

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Fine Detail

Barrier 3 · 122kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER0:0-0

Jockey:Lauren Stojakovic

Trainer:Tracy Cox

Fine Detail is a first-starter from a stable that can occasionally pop up with a winner. The inside barrier is a plus, and if she's shown anything in trials not publicly available, she could surprise. Keep an eye on market support.

First-starterInside barrierMarket watch

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Camooweal Girl

Barrier 11 · 122kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER2:0-0

Jockey:Todd Pannell

Trainer:Kristi Evans

Camooweal Girl has had two starts without showing much, and the wide barrier here doesn't help her chances. While Todd Pannell is a strong jockey, she needs to improve significantly to be competitive. She's a roughie at best.

Poor career formWide barrierSignificant improvement needed

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Lady Biv

Barrier 1 · 122kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER7:0-0

Jockey:Emily Finnegan

Trainer:Bob Richard

Lady Biv has had the most starts in the field but hasn't placed yet, which is a concern. While she has race fitness, her form suggests she's not quite up to winning a maiden. The inside barrier is her only real advantage.

Many starts, no placingsLimited ability shownInside barrier

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Celtic Bhoy

Barrier 12 · 127kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER0:0-0

Jockey:Andrew Stead

Trainer:Scott Whittle

A first-starter with no public form to assess, Celtic Bhoy is a complete unknown. The wide barrier on debut over a sprint distance makes his task even tougher. He'll need to show significant natural talent to feature.

First-starterWide barrierNo public form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Willebob

Barrier 7 · 127kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER0:0-0

Jockey:Margaret Collett

Trainer:Sarah Rutten

Another debutant, Willebob enters the race without any public trials or form. This makes him very difficult to assess against horses with race experience or strong trial form. He's likely to need the run and experience.

First-starterNo public trialsUnknown ability

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Veloce Girl

Barrier 10 · 122kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER0:0-0

Jockey:Rochelle Milnes

Trainer:David Aldridge

Veloce Girl is a first-starter with no public form and a very wide barrier. This combination makes her a rank outsider in a race with some more exposed form. She'll likely need this experience.

First-starterVery wide barrierNo public form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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