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Race 3Class 1 Handicap

CENTRAL COAST JEEP CLASS 1 HANDICAP ($29K)

TBA AEDT1609m29,0008 runners
AI Best Bet
#6 Derry City FelixJ: Andrew Calder
Derry City Felix brings the best career place strike rate and has shown good improvement recently, culminating in a strong maiden win. The step up to 1609m looks ideal, and with a solid draw, he's well-placed to continue his progression in this field. He appears to be the most progressive horse here.
Strong maiden winExcellent career place rateSuited by 1609mProgressive profile
Each-Way Value: Villa Castina
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Class 1 Handicap over 1609m presents a competitive field, with several runners showing recent glimpses of form or having upside. The race lacks a dominant standout, suggesting value can be found among the improving types and those with a strong distance profile. Key factors will be tactical positioning from the barrier and how horses handle the step up to the mile.

AI Selections & Analysis (8 runners)

1
Derry City Felix
Barrier 6 · 130kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER5:1-2
Jockey:Andrew Calder
Trainer:Paul & Martha Cave

Derry City Felix brings the best career place strike rate and has shown good improvement recently, culminating in a strong maiden win. The step up to 1609m looks ideal, and with a solid draw, he's well-placed to continue his progression in this field. He appears to be the most progressive horse here.

Strong maiden winExcellent career place rateSuited by 1609mProgressive profile
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
2
Contaldo
Barrier 1 · 126kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER17:1-3
Jockey:Rachel King
Trainer:Alicia Willick

Contaldo has a solid career record for a Class 1 horse, often finding the placings, and gets a plum draw in barrier 1 with Rachel King. While his win strike rate is low, his consistency at this level makes him a strong each-way contender. He's proven at the distance and capable of running well with a soft run.

Proven at 1600mExcellent barrier 1Consistent placegetterTop jockey engagement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
3
Miles Of Glory
Barrier 5 · 125kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:1-1
Jockey:Keagan Latham
Trainer:Michael Freedman

Miles Of Glory comes from a strong stable and has shown glimpses of ability, including a maiden win. The 1609m looks suitable, and with Keagan Latham aboard from a middle draw, he could be ready to step up. He needs to improve on his last start but has the potential to figure prominently.

Reputable stableSuitable distanceGood jockeyMiddle barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
4
Villa Castina
Barrier 2 · 125kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER8:1-1
Jockey:Alysha Collett
Trainer:Annabel & Rob Archibald

Villa Castina showed improvement last start and gets a good barrier with Alysha Collett. While her win rate is low, the stable is in good form, and she could be ready to put in a strong performance at an each-way price. She's a good candidate for a soft run and a late charge.

Improving last startGood barrier 2In-form stableCapable jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
5
Nay Pee Cee
Barrier 3 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER14:1-3
Jockey:Andrew Adkins
Trainer:Gregory Mcfarlane

Nay Pee Cee has a consistent place record for a Class 1 horse and draws well in barrier 3. While his win rate is low, he often runs into the placings and could be a value option for the exotics. He's a reliable type who should get a good run in transit.

Consistent placegetterGood barrier 3Experienced jockeySuited by a soft run
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
6
Serpico
Barrier 4 · 125kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER11:1-0
Jockey:Ashley Morgan
Trainer:David Payne

Serpico has been consistent in his recent runs but his overall career record suggests he finds it hard to win, with only one win from 11 starts. While he has a good trainer and jockey, he will need to find something extra to challenge for the win in this field. He's likely to be around the mark but may struggle to convert.

Consistent recent formGood trainer/jockey comboStruggles to winMiddle barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
7
Ribble Lace
Barrier 8 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER5:1-0
Jockey:Zac Wadick
Trainer:Denim Wynen

Ribble Lace won her maiden but has not placed since, suggesting she might be finding this class a bit tough. From a wide barrier, she'll need a strong ride and a lot of luck to feature. She's a roughie who needs to show significant improvement.

Wide barrier 8Unplaced since maiden winFinding class toughInexperienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
8
Bold Splendor
Barrier 7 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER24:1-3
Jockey:Reece Jones
Trainer:Damien Lane

Bold Splendor has a very poor win strike rate from 24 starts and has struggled to break through in this grade. While he has placed a few times, he's unlikely to be a winning chance here from a wide barrier. He's a consistent placegetter at a lower level but this is a step up.

Poor win strike rateWide barrier 7Struggling in this classLong career without much success
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5

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