Race 2Maiden Plate

ONLINE TICKETS @ GRAFTONTICKETS.COM.AU MAIDEN PLATE ($19K)

TBA AEDT1710m19,00010 runners

AI Best Bet

#5 Elegant ForceJ: Andrew Mallyon

This Kris Lees-trained runner looks to be the one to beat in this weak maiden. While still unplaced, her last start at Taree over 1600m showed significant improvement, finishing fourth against a slightly stronger field. With a top jockey aboard and a favourable barrier, she's primed to break her maiden.

Kris Lees stable formImproved last startTop jockey engagementFavourable barrier 5Suited by distance rise

Each-Way Value: Literature Tycoon

85%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Grafton maiden plate over 1710m presents a challenging puzzle with many runners yet to break through. The extended distance could suit some, while others are clearly struggling to find form. Kris Lees' runner, Elegant Force, appears to be the most promising prospect given the stable's prowess and the horse's recent improvement.

AI Selections & Analysis (10 runners)

Elegant Force

Barrier 5 · 125kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER7:0-0

Jockey:Andrew Mallyon

Trainer:Kris Lees

Kris Lees stable formImproved last startTop jockey engagementFavourable barrier 5Suited by distance rise

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Distance Form

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Literature Tycoon

Barrier 3 · 126kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER12:0-2

Jockey:Ben Looker

Trainer:Stirling Osland

Literature Tycoon has shown glimpses of ability with two placings from 12 starts and comes from a stable that can get them ready. The inside barrier is a plus, and if he can find clear running, he has the potential to be competitive. He represents good each-way value in this field.

Inside barrier 3Consistent stablePrevious placingsSuited by distance

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Oakfield Galaxy

Barrier 10 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER13:0-3

Jockey:Brandon Lerena

Trainer:Vishan Venkaya

Oakfield Galaxy has the most placings in the field, indicating some ability, but a wide barrier and a large number of starts without a win are concerns. If the pace is strong, he could be running on late, but he will need luck from barrier 10. His consistency for minor placings makes him a consideration.

Most placings in fieldExperienced jockeyWide barrier 10Fitness edge

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Divine Effort

Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER2:0-0

Jockey:Grace Palmer

Trainer:Samantha Mcguren

Divine Effort is lightly raced with only two starts, suggesting there's scope for improvement, especially over a longer trip. The inside barrier is a significant advantage, and if she's taken a step forward since her last run, she could surprise. This is an open maiden where improvement can be rewarded.

Inside barrier 1Lightly racedScope for improvementDistance rise could suit

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Stainless Steel

Barrier 6 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER21:0-3

Jockey:Jodi Worley

Trainer:Paddy Cunningham

Stainless Steel has had many starts without a win but has managed to place three times, showing some capability. The barrier is decent, and the jockey has a good understanding of the local tracks. However, his overall strike rate is a concern, and he'll need to improve to win.

Midfield barrier 6Experienced jockeyPrevious placingsFitness from many runs

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Frictional Force

Barrier 4 · 129kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER5:0-0

Jockey:Karl Zechner

Trainer:John Shelton

Frictional Force is still a maiden after five starts, but comes from a respected stable, which is a positive. The barrier is fair, and if there's a strong stable push for improvement, he could feature. However, his form to date doesn't inspire high confidence.

Respected trainerMidfield barrier 4Scope for improvement

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Righteous Brother

Barrier 7 · 130kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER25:0-1

Jockey:Danny Peisley

Trainer:Stephen Bennett

Righteous Brother has had a staggering 25 starts for only one placing, which is a significant red flag in a maiden. While he has race fitness, his inability to break through suggests he's likely outclassed here. He would need a massive turnaround to be competitive.

Extensive race experiencePoor winning strike rateMidfield barrier 7

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Some Girls

Barrier 2 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER9:0-0

Jockey:Damien Boche

Trainer:Jason Reilly

Some Girls has yet to place from nine starts and her form doesn't suggest a breakthrough is imminent. While the inside barrier is good, her overall performance has been underwhelming. She would need to show significant improvement to be a factor in this race.

Inside barrier 2Poor career formYet to place

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Washik

Barrier 8 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER19:0-1

Jockey:Poppie Gorton

Trainer:Julie Pratten

Washik has had 19 starts for only one placing and has been largely uncompetitive in recent outings. The wide barrier adds another challenge, making it difficult for her to find a prominent position. She appears to be struggling to find form and is likely to be an outsider.

Poor career recordWide barrier 8Struggling for form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Finding Elle

Barrier 9 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER29:0-1

Jockey:Raymond Spokes

Trainer:John Higgins

Finding Elle is the most experienced maiden in the field with 29 starts for only one placing, which is a significant concern. Her form has been consistently poor, and the wide barrier makes her task even harder. It's difficult to make a case for her in this race.

Extremely poor career recordWide barrier 9No recent form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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